First Team to Score Wins: Wake Us When It’s Over

filed under Sports Betting : Strategy

Baseball addict and nebbish jerk-off George Will tells us that MLB is the perfect game for a sleepy summer afternoon, so why are we surprised that two-hour forty-five minute games, pitching changes every third of an inning and endless pitcher-catcher conferences leave us in a stupor? We only start paying attention when the going gets good. At Bet365 and Betroyal, the “first team to score wins” bet is pretty attractive. During last weekend’s Interleague play, the first team to score won 27 of 45 games – a 60 percent clip.

So where’s the edge? Remember your days as a pint-sized, wild-swinging fool in Little League! OK, so maybe you’ve blocked out the shame and degradation, but you should have learned at least one life-lesson – the away team is up first every inning. Almost always then, the away team gets the shorter odds, so look to the other side. The home team scored first and won in 18/45 games over the weekend – a smart bet at 40 percent.

So let’s look to a “no” bet for the “first team to score wins” in the Mariners v. A’s game tonight – pays a sweet 8/5. We also like the “no” side in the Giants v. Diamondbacks game, which pays out 7/5.

For a good jolt on a long summer day, only a really complicated Starbucks drink beats tuning into ESPN and vegging out until the hometown crowd cheers.

First Team To Score Wins [Bet365]
First Team To Score Wins [Betroyal]

First Inning Bets: Earlier Props, Sooner Naps

filed under Sports Betting : Strategy

Lollygagging Dodger fans take note – if you’re in no hurry to catch the first inning, you’re missing out on one of the most popular sports bets on the Net. Bet365, BetWWTS and William Hill all offer “score in the first inning” bets that look mighty tempting.

Last weekend’s Interleague play showed where bettors can make some quick dollars by scraping spare change from between the couch cushions.In 45 games, a run crossed the plate in the first inning 27 times – a not-too-shabby edge of 53 percent. The odds aren’t fat when you find them – at Bet365, today’s White Sox v. Tigers and Pirates v. Nationals match-ups will pay you 11/10 if teams score in the first inning of either game. That’s a profit of a penny for every dime bet you win! If you’re on a hot streak, that could add up to a Happy Meal on a good day!

Meanwhile, William Hill and a couple of other spots want you to pick the TEAM that will score in the First Inning. The odds get fatter (Washington pays 13/5 if they score in the first, for example), but then the pick is dicier. Keep in mind that the Home Team scored a run in the first inning in 14 of 45 games over the weekend. That’s just short of one-third of the time.

For this type of bet, we ain’t talking NBA Lottery Pick pay-off here, but every penny count when you’re snooping for beer money.

Score in the First Inning [Bet 365]
Score in the First Inning [William Hill]
Score in the First Inning [BetWWTS]
MLB Scores & Schedule [Yahoo]

Vegas or Your Computer? Which Sees More Action.

filed under Sports Betting : Strategy

Renowned bookmaker Richie Baccellieri taps his own well of experience and breaks down the differences between offshore and Las Vegas sports book houses for Covers:

“The clientele offshore is an absolute,” Baccellieri says. “I had 300-500 regular customers. In Las Vegas sportsbooks the clientele changes from day to day. One day you have 500 customers. The next day you have 1,000 new sports customers. In Vegas, people play what’s on the board. Offshore, people only bet with you if you have the best number.”

The only problem with the article is that they don’t give Richie Baccellieri a nickname. You know he has one. If he does this again, Oddjack suggests one of the following:

· The Gambling Goombah
· Richie Ballbreaker
· The Paisan of Points
· Richie the Wop
· Richie Dances With Wolves
· Richie Smells Like Provolone

Or something like that.

Comparing Vegas and Offshore Betting [Covers]

The Bisexual Baseball Run Line System Experiment

filed under Sports Betting : Strategy

A degenerate nob on the Two Plus Two forums has put together an equation which he suspects ensures a profitable haul if you play both sides of a baseball game. Observe genius in action:

was looking a senerio … where you would play both sides of a baseball game… runlines… -1.5 for each team…both plays would be around +160 or so…so as long as it wasnt a ONE RUN game… you would make 60 bucks ….. no matter who wins.

Plenty of dissent, support, and full-on-flaming of the idea continues in the forum thread. However, we still feel like giving it a shot with the Rangers/White Sox tonight. We’ve got small gut feeling that this will work out in the short-term. Or it might just be gas.

anyone ever play BOTH sides of a baseball game??? [Two plus Two]